CareerBuilder and USA TODAY Job Forecast

Most employers expect their staff levels to remain the same as recruiting patterns hold steady and job losses trend downward, according to CareerBuilder and USA TODAY’s Q3 2009 Job Forecast.

The survey polled more than 2,600 hiring managers and human resource professionals.

Speaking about the results, Matt Ferguson, CEO of CareerBuilder said:

“The latest report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that job loss is moderating, a trend that will hopefully continue in the second half of the year as the financial system and economy move toward recovery. Though we’re headed in the right direction, we’re not likely to experience significant movement in job creation in 2009. Jobs will be added, but overall, businesses will continue to be conservative in their hiring and maintain focus on existing human capital. Sixty-eight percent of employers said they don’t anticipate any change in their full-time, permanent headcount in the third quarter.”

Sixty-four percent of employers reported no change in their staff levels in the second quarter. The number of employers who added and reduced headcount improved over the previous three months. Eighteen percent of employers said they increased their number of full-time permanent employees in the second quarter – up from 13 percent in the first quarter. Seventeen percent of employers reported a reduction in headcount, an improvement from 26 percent in the first quarter. One percent were undecided.

Looking forward, 15 percent of hiring managers expect to increase full-time, permanent headcount in the third quarter, up slightly from what was originally projected for the second quarter. Ten percent anticipate there will be a decrease in headcount in the third quarter, a projected improvement from the previous two quarters. Sixty-eight percent expect no change and 7 percent are unsure.

The survey also identified six trends from the first half of the year: postponed start dates, furloughs, pay cuts, hiring freeze, revised sick policies and less perks and benefits.

You can download the entire Q3 forecast here.

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